Interview questions
Probability quant interview questions
108 interview-style probability problems, ordered from easy to hard.
Probability questions are the backbone of quant trading and quant research interviews. Interviewers use them to see how quickly you can model an unfamiliar situation, choose the right sample space and avoid double counting under time pressure. Expect conditional probability and Bayes' rule, independence traps, geometric probability, symmetry arguments, coin and dice games, and Markov chain style problems where you set up states and solve a small system of equations. The problems below start with short warm-ups and build toward multi-step questions with interviewer follow-ups, the kind asked in first rounds at trading firms and hedge funds. Each free problem includes hints and a worked, step-by-step solution, so you can learn the reasoning pattern rather than memorising an answer, then practise it interactively.
Practice Probability interactivelyEasy (33)
- The Birthday Collision · Birthday Problem
- Three Heads Before Three Tails · Coins
- Two Heads in Three Flips · Coins
- At Least One Six · Dice
- Sum of Eight · Dice
- Matching Ranks · Cards
- Even Prime Sum · Number Theory
- Two Winning Trades · Binomial
- Two Red Balls · Sampling Without Replacement
- Rolling Doubles · Dice
- Max Below a Threshold · Maximum
- Two Boxes of Balls · Bayes
- First Ace to Appear · Cards
- Dice Sum Conditional · Dice
- Monty Hall Switch · Monty Hall
- Binary Payout Fair Value · Markets · Fair Value
- No Consecutive Heads · Coins
- Small Triangle in the Unit Square · Geometric Probability
- Three Heads in Four Flips · Coins
- At Least One Six in Three Rolls · Dice
- Dice Sum of Nine · Dice
- Matching Parity of Two Dice · Dice
- Waiting More Than Five Flips · Geometric Distribution
- First Head on Flip Four · Geometric Distribution
- Divisible by Two or Five · Number Theory
- Relative Order of Three Objects · Random Permutations
- Which Variable Is Largest · Order Statistics
- Repeated Digit in a Random Code · Combinatorial Probability
- Exactly Two Red Balls · Hypergeometric Distribution
- Even Roll · Dice
- Three Heads in Four Flips · Coins
- Two Dice Summing to Seven · Dice
- Two Aces · Cards
Medium (58)
- More Heads Than Tails · Coins
- First Ace at Card 14 · Cards
- Fixed Points of a Permutation · Random Permutations
- Birthday Coincidence · Birthday Problem
- Even Rolls Until Six · Conditional Probability
- Higher Card Wins · Cards
- Ratio of Uniforms · Uniform Distribution
- Median of Three Uniforms · Order Statistics
- Extremes of n Uniforms · Continuous Order Statistics
- Minimum of Exponentials · Exponential Distribution
- Race of Two Exponentials · Exponential Distribution
- Inverse Transform Sampling · Inverse Transform
- Broken Stick Triangle · Geometric Probability
- Diagnostic Test Bayes · Bayes' Theorem
- Fair Coin or Two-Headed · Bayesian Updating
- Urn Conditional Draw · Urns
- Face Card Color · Cards
- Landing at Plus Two · Random Walk
- Stable Round Table · Geometric Probability
- Even Die, Even Sum · Independence
- Silent Half Hour · Poisson Distribution
- Memoryless Wait · Exponential Memorylessness
- Exactly One Ace · Cards
- Every Room Occupied · Occupancy
- Three Different Suits · Cards
- Separation in a Line · Random Permutations
- Even Digits in a Code · Counting
- Which Coin Was Chosen? · Bayes
- Defective Product Source · Bayes
- Conditional Relative Ordering · Permutations
- Exactly One Ace Given At Least One · Cards
- Previous Draw Given Current Color · Conditional Sampling
- Reinforced Urn · Conditional Probability
- Conditional Dice Maximum · Conditional Probability
- Conditional Geometric Time · Geometric Distribution
- Expected Gap Between Two Uniforms · Continuous Uniform
- Competing Exponentials · Exponential Distribution
- Poisson Thinning of Order Flow · Poisson Process
- Three Cards of the Same Suit · Cards
- Exactly Two Hearts in Five Cards · Cards
- First Ace at Position Ten · Cards
- Same Parity Without Replacement · Combinatorial Probability
- Doubles Given a Large Sum · Conditional Probability
- Three Possible Sources · Bayes' Theorem
- Truncated Geometric Distribution · Geometric Distribution
- Exactly One Red, Conditionally · Conditional Probability
- Uniform Inequality · Continuous Distributions
- Distance Between Two Uniforms · Continuous Distributions
- Median Below One Half · Order Statistics
- Exponential Race · Exponential Distribution
- At Least Two Successes · Binomial Distribution
- Union of Independent Events · Events
- Six Given Even · Conditional Probability
- Expected Tosses to First Head · Geometric Distribution
- First Six on the Third Roll · Geometric Distribution
- Different Colours · Urns
- Two Uniforms Above One · Geometric Probability
- Positive Test, Rare Disease · Bayes
Hard (17)
- Average of Three Uniforms · Irwin-Hall Distribution
- First Ace Position · Cards
- Fruit Basket Depletion · Sequential Sampling
- Gambler's Ruin Odds · Gambler's Ruin
- Mayor's Rope Cut · Geometric Probability
- Order Statistic Expectation · Conditional Expectation
- Median of Three Uniforms · Order Statistics
- Uniform Arrival Time · Poisson Process
- Reciprocal Jensen Gap · Jensen
- Non-Attacking Rooks · Combinatorial Probability
- Two Uniforms Smaller Than a Third · Continuous Probability
- Conditional Poisson Arrival Locations · Poisson Process
- Exactly One Birthday Pair Among Four · Birthday Problem
- Sum 8 Given a Six · Conditional Probability
- Expected Position of the First Ace · Cards
- Two Heads Given at Least One · Conditional Probability
- Sum Above One Given a Large X · Geometric Probability