Question library

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Browse interview-style problems and focus on the reasoning pattern behind each result.

The Birthday Collision

Assuming equally likely birthdays, what is the smallest group size for which a shared birthday is more likely than not?

Birthday Problem

Three Heads Before Three Tails

A fair coin is tossed until either three consecutive heads or three consecutive tails appear. What is the probability heads wins?

Coins

Balanced Committee

From 6 women and 5 men, how many 4-person committees contain exactly 2 women?

Committees

Precision of the Mean

A population has variance . For a random sample of independent observations, what is the standard error of the sample mean?

Estimation

Two Heads in Three Flips

A fair coin is flipped three times. What is the probability of getting exactly two heads?

Coins

At Least One Six

A fair six-sided die is rolled four times. What is the probability of seeing at least one 6?

Dice

Sum of Eight

+ 1 follow-up

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that their sum is 8?

Dice

Matching Ranks

Two cards are drawn without replacement from a standard 52-card deck. What is the probability that they have the same rank?

Cards

Even Prime Sum

Two distinct prime numbers are chosen uniformly from the primes between 1 and 20 inclusive. What is the probability that their sum is even?

Number Theory

Two Winning Trades

Each trade independently makes money with probability 0.4. What is the probability that exactly two out of five trades make money?

Binomial

No Correct Letter

Four letters are randomly placed into four addressed envelopes, one letter per envelope. What is the probability that no letter reaches the correct recipient?

Permutations

Two Red Balls

A bag contains 3 red balls and 7 blue balls. Five balls are chosen without replacement. What is the probability of selecting exactly two red balls?

Sampling Without Replacement

Rolling Doubles

+ 1 follow-up

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability of rolling doubles?

Dice

Boxes With Minimums

15 identical balls are distributed among 5 labeled boxes. Each box must contain at least 2 balls. How many distributions are possible?

Stars and Bars

Four Boxes, Min Three

+ 1 follow-up

20 identical balls are distributed among 4 labeled boxes. Each box must contain at least 3 balls. How many distributions are possible?

Stars and Bars

Non-Adjacent Books

Five distinct books are placed on a shelf. Two particular books must not be adjacent. How many valid arrangements are there?

Arrangements

MISSISSIPPI Arrangements

How many distinct arrangements of the letters in MISSISSIPPI are possible?

Repeated Objects

Committee With Alice or Bob

A committee of 4 is selected from 10 people. Alice and Bob are two of the ten people. How many committees contain at least one of Alice or Bob?

Committees

Round Table Seating

+ 2 follow-ups

Eight distinct people sit around a circular table. Rotations are considered identical. How many seating arrangements are possible?

Circular Permutations

Bounded Integer Solutions

How many integer solutions satisfy with , , ?

Integer Solutions

Max Below a Threshold

, , and are independent random variables. What is the probability that their maximum is less than ?

Maximum

Sum of Independent Normals

and are independent. What is the distribution of ?

Normal Distribution

Two Boxes of Balls

You choose one of two boxes uniformly. Box A contains 2 red balls and 1 blue ball. Box B contains 1 red ball and 2 blue balls. You draw a red ball. What is the probability that you chose Box A?

Bayes

First Ace to Appear

A standard deck is shuffled. Among the four aces, which ace is most likely to appear first?

Cards

Dice Sum Conditional

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. Given that their sum is 8, what is the probability that at least one die shows 5?

Dice

Monty Hall Switch

In the standard three-door Monty Hall problem, you initially choose one door. The host, who knows where the prize is, opens a losing door and offers you the opportunity to switch. What is your probability of winning if you switch?

Monty Hall

Symmetric Walk Mean

+ 1 follow-up

A symmetric random walk starts at . Each step is independently or with equal probability. What is the expected position after steps?

Random Walk

Waiting for Sixes

+ 1 follow-up

What is the expected number of rolls of a fair six-sided die until the first appears?

Waiting Times

Binary Payout Fair Value

A contract pays with probability 0.6 and otherwise. Assume zero interest rates and a risk-neutral setting. What is its fair value?

Markets · Fair Value

Uninformed Spread Profit

The true fair value of an asset is 100. A market maker quotes 99 bid and 101 ask. An uninformed trader is equally likely to buy at the ask or sell at the bid. Ignoring inventory risk, what is the market maker's expected profit per trade?

Market Making · Spread

Annualized Sharpe Ratio

A strategy has an average daily return divided by daily return volatility equal to 0.10. Assuming independent identically distributed daily returns and 252 trading days per year, what is the annualized Sharpe ratio?

Risk · Sharpe Ratio

Duration Price Sensitivity

A bond has modified duration 5. Interest rates increase by 20 basis points. Using the duration approximation, approximately what percentage change should occur in the bond price?

Fixed Income · Duration

Delta-Neutral Share Count

You are long 100 call option contracts. Each contract represents 100 shares and each option has delta 0.60. How many shares should you trade to become delta-neutral?

Options · Delta Hedging

No Consecutive Heads

+ 1 follow-up

A fair coin is flipped five times. What is the probability that no two heads occur consecutively?

Coins

Relative Order

Eight distinct people stand in a uniformly random order. What is the probability that Alice appears before Bob and Bob appears before Charlie?

Random Permutations

Equal Team Allocation

Twelve distinct people are assigned to three labeled teams, with exactly four people on each team. How many assignments are possible?

Multinomial Counting

Adjacent Equal Coin Flips

A fair coin is flipped 20 times. Let be the number of adjacent pairs of flips that are equal. For example, flips 7 and 8 form one adjacent pair. Find .

Indicator Variables

Small Triangle in the Unit Square

and are independent random variables. What is ?

Geometric Probability

Population Regression Coefficient

+ 1 follow-up

Suppose and . What is the population least-squares slope when regressing on ?

Linear Regression

Eigenvalues of a Symmetric 2x2 Matrix

Find the eigenvalues of the matrix .

Linear Algebra

Rank of an Outer Product

Let and be nonzero vectors. What is the rank of the matrix ?

Linear Algebra

Minimum Norm Under a Linear Constraint

Minimize subject to .

Optimization

Superposition of Two Poisson Processes

Two independent Poisson processes have rates and . What is the distribution of their combined arrival process?

Poisson Processes

Forward Price With a Dividend Yield

A stock trades at . The continuously compounded risk-free rate is and the stock pays a continuous dividend yield of . What is the no-arbitrage one-year forward price?

Forwards

Compounded Two-Period Return

+ 1 follow-up

A stock moves from to , then from to . What is the total simple return over the two periods?

Returns

Worst-Case Binary Search Comparisons

A sorted array contains 1000 distinct values. Using binary search, what is the maximum number of midpoint comparisons needed to determine whether a target value is present?

Search

Three Heads in Four Flips

A fair coin is flipped four times. What is the probability of obtaining exactly three heads?

Coins

At Least One Six in Three Rolls

A fair six-sided die is rolled three times. What is the probability that at least one roll is a 6?

Dice

Dice Sum of Nine

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that their sum is 9?

Dice

Matching Parity of Two Dice

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that both results have the same parity?

Dice

Waiting More Than Five Flips

A fair coin is flipped until the first head appears. What is the probability that more than five flips are required?

Geometric Distribution

First Head on Flip Four

A coin lands heads with probability 0.3 on each flip. What is the probability that the first head occurs on flip 4?

Geometric Distribution

Divisible by Two or Five

An integer is selected uniformly at random from . What is the probability that it is divisible by 2 or 5?

Number Theory

Relative Order of Three Objects

A uniformly random permutation of six distinct objects is generated. What is the probability that object A occurs before object B and object B occurs before object C?

Random Permutations

Which Variable Is Largest

X, Y and Z are independent, identically distributed continuous random variables. What is the probability that X is the largest of the three?

Order Statistics

Repeated Digit in a Random Code

A five-digit code is generated by independently selecting each digit uniformly from 0 through 9. What is the probability that at least one digit is repeated?

Combinatorial Probability

Exactly Two Red Balls

A bag contains 4 red and 6 blue balls. Three balls are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that exactly two are red?

Hypergeometric Distribution

Committees of Three

How many committees of 3 can be chosen from 8 distinct people?

Combinations

Arranging Seven Books

How many ways can seven distinct books be arranged on a shelf?

Permutations

Circular Table for Six

Six distinct people sit around a circular table. Rotations are considered identical. How many seatings exist?

Circular Permutations

Seven in a Line, Adjacent

Seven people stand in a line. How many arrangements have two particular people, Alice and Bob, standing adjacent?

Permutations

Arrangements of BANANA

How many distinct arrangements of the letters in the word BANANA exist?

Multiset Permutations

Balls Into Boxes, Empty Allowed

Ten identical balls are distributed among four labeled boxes, with empty boxes allowed. How many allocations exist?

Stars and Bars

Balls Into Boxes, None Empty

Ten identical balls are distributed among four labeled boxes, with every box receiving at least one ball. How many allocations exist?

Stars and Bars

Five-Digit Codes, No Repeats

How many length-5 codes can be made from digits 0 through 9 if no digit may repeat and a leading zero is allowed?

Permutations

Lattice Paths to (5,3)

How many lattice paths travel from to using only right and up moves?

Lattice Paths

Expected Heads in Twenty Flips

A fair coin is flipped 20 times. What is the expected number of heads?

Linearity

Expected Heads with a Biased Coin

A coin has head probability 0.3 and is flipped 50 times. What is the expected number of heads?

Linearity

Expected Sum of Ten Dice

Ten fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the expected sum?

Linearity

Waiting for a Rare Success

A Bernoulli trial succeeds with probability 0.2. What is the expected number of trials until the first success?

Geometric Distribution

Random Walk Mean After Twenty Steps

A symmetric +/-1 random walk starts at 0. What is its expected position after 20 steps?

Random Walk

Expected Failures Before Success

Independent Bernoulli trials succeed with probability 1/4. What is the expected number of failures before the first success?

Geometric Distribution

Sum of Two Independent Normals

and are independent. What is the distribution of ?

Normal Distribution

Linear Transformation of a Normal

. What is the distribution of ?

Normal Distribution

MLE of a Bernoulli Parameter

A Bernoulli sample contains successes in observations. What is the maximum-likelihood estimator of ?

Maximum Likelihood

MLE of a Normal Mean

are independent observations with known. What is the maximum-likelihood estimator of ?

Maximum Likelihood

Variance of the Sample Mean

are independent with variance . What is for observations?

Sampling Distributions

Large-Sample Distribution of the Sample Mean

A population has mean and variance . State the approximate large- distribution of the sample mean.

Central Limit Theorem

Posterior Mean of a Beta Distribution

Using the posterior , what is the posterior mean?

Bayesian Inference

Mean and Variance of a Poisson

If , state its mean and variance.

Discrete Distributions

Mean and Variance of an Exponential

If , state its mean and variance.

Continuous Distributions

Mean of a Geometric Waiting Time

For a geometric random variable counting trials until the first success with probability , what is the expected value?

Discrete Distributions

Mean of a Uniform Distribution

. Find .

Continuous Distributions

Variance of a Uniform Distribution

. Find .

Continuous Distributions

Marginal Distribution of Brownian Motion

For standard Brownian motion with , what is the distribution of ?

Brownian Motion

Distribution of a Brownian Increment

For standard Brownian motion, what is the distribution of ?

Brownian Motion

Covariance of Two Brownian Times

For standard Brownian motion, find .

Brownian Motion

Symmetry of Brownian Motion

For standard Brownian motion, what is ?

Brownian Motion

Second Moment of Brownian Motion

For standard Brownian motion, find .

Brownian Motion

Poisson Process Counts

A counting process is a Poisson process with rate . What is the distribution of ?

Poisson Process

Interarrival Times of a Poisson Process

For a Poisson process with rate , what is the distribution of the time between consecutive arrivals?

Poisson Process

Superposition of Two Rate-Specific Poisson Processes

Two independent Poisson processes have rates and arrivals per hour. What is the rate of their superposition (the combined arrival process)?

Poisson Process

Expected Time to the nth Poisson Arrival

For a Poisson process with rate , what is the expected waiting time until the th arrival?

Poisson Process

Forward Price With Cost of Carry

A stock trades at . The continuously compounded risk-free rate is , the continuous dividend yield is , and maturity is one year. Find the no-arbitrage forward price.

Forwards

Duration-Only Price Sensitivity, Second Instance

A bond has modified duration 6. Yields rise 25 basis points. Approximate the percentage price change using duration only.

Fixed Income · Duration

Continuously Compounded Zero-Coupon Bond Price

A zero-coupon bond pays 100 in two years. The continuously compounded risk-free rate is 5%. Find its price.

Fixed Income

Expected P&L of a Two-Outcome Strategy

A strategy earns +4 with probability 0.4 and loses 2 otherwise. Find the expected P&L per trade.

Trading

Uninformed Spread Profit, Second Instance

True fair value is 100. A market maker quotes 99.80/100.20. An uninformed customer is equally likely to buy or sell. Ignoring inventory risk, what is expected maker profit per trade?

Market Making · Spread

One-Day Value at Risk, Second Instance

Daily P&L is normally distributed with zero mean and $1.5 million standard deviation. Using , estimate the one-day 99% VaR.

Risk · Value at Risk

Delta-Neutral Share Count, Second Instance

A call has delta 0.35. You are long 200 contracts, each representing 100 shares. How many shares should be traded to become delta-neutral?

Options · Delta Hedging

Eigenvalues of a Symmetric 2x2 Matrix

Find the eigenvalues of the matrix .

Eigenvalues

Trace From Eigenvalues

A matrix has eigenvalues , , and . What is its trace?

Eigenvalues

Determinant From Eigenvalues

A matrix has eigenvalues , , and . What is its determinant?

Eigenvalues

Condition for Orthogonal Vectors

What condition characterizes orthogonality of two vectors and ?

Inner Products

Minimizing Sum of Squares Under a Linear Constraint

Minimize subject to .

Optimization

Maximizing a Product Under a Sum Constraint

Maximize subject to and .

Optimization

Normal Equations for Ordinary Least Squares

State the normal equations for ordinary least squares.

Least Squares

Eigenvalues of a Triangular Matrix

What are the eigenvalues of an upper triangular matrix?

Eigenvalues

Determinant of a Triangular Matrix

What is the determinant of a triangular matrix?

Determinants

Rank-Nullity for a Map From R^7

A linear map from has rank . What is its nullity?

Rank-Nullity Theorem

Inverse of an Orthogonal Matrix

If is an orthogonal matrix, what is ?

Orthogonal Matrices

Binary Search Comparisons for 1024 Elements

A target is known to be present in a sorted array of 1024 distinct elements. What is the minimum worst-case number of yes/no comparisons required to identify its position?

Search

Time Complexity of Merge Sort

What is the asymptotic time complexity of merge sort?

Sorting

Two-Sum With a Hash Set

What is the time complexity of finding whether a target pair summing to a given value exists using a hash set?

Hashing

Solving T(n) = T(n/2) + 1

Solve .

Recurrences

Solving T(n) = T(n-1) + 1

Solve .

Recurrences

Maximum Nodes in a Binary Tree of Bounded Depth

A binary tree has root depth 0 and maximum depth d. What is the maximum possible number of nodes?

Trees

Binary Heap Insertion Complexity

What is the worst-case time complexity of inserting an element into a binary heap?

Heaps

Shortest Paths in an Unweighted Graph

What algorithm finds shortest paths from a source in an unweighted graph?

Graph Traversal

Edge Weight Requirement for Dijkstra's Algorithm

What restriction on edge weights is required by standard Dijkstra's algorithm?

Shortest Paths

Existence of a Topological Ordering

When does a directed graph admit a topological ordering?

Graph Theory

Guaranteed Repeats by the Pigeonhole Principle

An array of n+1 integers contains values only from {1,...,n}. What principle guarantees at least one repeated value?

Combinatorial Reasoning

Expected Hash Table Lookup Complexity

What is the asymptotic expected lookup complexity of a well-designed hash table under standard assumptions?

Hashing

Maximum Edges in a Simple Graph

What is the worst-case number of edges in a simple undirected graph with n vertices?

Graph Theory

Identifying a Tree by Edge Count

A connected undirected graph contains n vertices and exactly n-1 edges. What structure must it be?

Graph Theory

Midpoint and Spread of a Quote

A dealer quotes bid and ask. What are the midpoint and the full spread?

Quotes and Spreads

Recovering the Ask

The bid is and the full spread is . What is the ask?

Quotes and Spreads

Round Trip Through the Spread

You buy shares at the bid of and immediately resell them at the ask of . Ignoring costs, what is your P&L?

P&L

Inventory After a Customer Buy

A customer buys units from you at your quote. What is the change in your inventory?

Inventory

Covering Part of a Short

You are short shares. A customer sells you shares. What is your new position?

Inventory

Spread in Basis Points

A dealer posts . Express the full spread in basis points of the midpoint.

Quotes and Spreads

Two Customers, Both Sides

Your fair value is and your quote is . One customer buys units and another sells units. What is your combined gross P&L relative to fair value?

P&L

Picked Off on a Stale Quote

Fair value rises from to while your quote stays at . A customer buys units at your stale ask. Marking to the new fair value, what is your P&L?

Adverse Selection

Realized P&L on a Round Trip

A dealer buys units at , then sells them at . Find the realized P&L.

P&L

Half-Spread in Basis Points

At bid/ask , what is the half-spread, in price units and in basis points of the midpoint?

Quotes and Spreads

Three Switches, One Visit

Three switches outside a closed room control three incandescent bulbs inside. You may enter the room exactly once. How do you identify which switch controls each bulb?

Logic Puzzles

Eight Balls, One Heavy

Eight identical-looking balls include one heavier ball. Using a balance scale, what is the minimum number of weighings that guarantees finding the heavy ball?

Weighing

Burning Ropes for 45 Minutes

Two ropes each burn completely in exactly minutes, but at irregular rates. How can you measure exactly minutes?

Timing Puzzles

Four Liters From 3 and 5

You have an unmarked -liter jug and an unmarked -liter jug, unlimited water, and may empty either jug. Measure exactly liters.

Jug Puzzles

Snail in a Well

A snail climbs meters each day and slides down meters each night. On which day does it leave a -meter well?

Classic Puzzles

Clock Angle at 3:15

At , what is the smaller angle between the hands of an analog clock, in degrees?

Clocks

Machines and Widgets

Five identical machines make five widgets in five minutes. How long do machines need to make widgets, in minutes?

Rates

Bat and Ball

A bat and a ball cost $1.10 together. The bat costs $1 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost, in dollars?

Classic Puzzles

Three Sandwiches, Two Fathers, Two Sons

Two fathers and two sons share exactly three sandwiches so that each gets one whole sandwich. How is this possible?

Logic Puzzles

Doubling Lily Pads

A lily patch doubles its area each day and covers the entire pond on day . On which day was the pond half covered?

Exponential Growth

Even Roll

A fair six-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of an even result?

Dice

Three Heads in Four Flips

A fair coin is flipped four times. What is the probability of exactly three heads?

Coins

Two Dice Summing to Seven

Two fair dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum is ?

Dice

Two Aces

Two cards are drawn without replacement from a standard -card deck. What is the probability both are aces?

Cards

Choosing Three of Ten

How many ways are there to choose people from ?

Combinations

Books on a Shelf

How many ways can distinct books be arranged on a shelf?

Permutations

Mean of Four Numbers

Find the mean of .

Descriptive Statistics

Variance of a Coin Indicator

A fair coin is coded for heads, for tails. Find the variance.

Bernoulli

19 Times 21

Compute mentally.

Mental Math

Fifteen Percent of 240

Compute of .

Mental Math

48 Squared

Compute .

Mental Math

One Eighth as a Percent

Express as a percentage.

Mental Math

Long Call Profit

A long European call has strike and premium . The underlying expires at . What is the net profit per share?

Option Payoffs

Long Put Profit

A long European put has strike and premium . The underlying expires at . What is the net profit per share?

Option Payoffs

Maximum of Three

If are independent variables, what is ?

Order Statistics

More Heads Than Tails

A fair coin is flipped 10 times. What is the probability of observing more heads than tails?

Coins

First Ace at Card 14

A shuffled standard deck is revealed one card at a time. What is the probability that the first ace appears exactly as card 14?

Cards

Fixed Points of a Permutation

+ 1 follow-up

A random permutation of n distinct objects is chosen uniformly. What is the expected number of objects that remain in their original positions?

Random Permutations

Birthday Coincidence

Assuming 365 equally likely birthdays and ignoring leap years, what is the probability that at least two people in a group of 23 share a birthday?

Birthday Problem

Even Rolls Until Six

+ 1 follow-up

Dan repeatedly rolls a fair six-sided die until he gets a 6. Given that every roll he observed was even, what is the expected total number of rolls?

Conditional Probability

Higher Card Wins

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Cards

Restricted Team Formation

Ten employees must be divided into three teams: 3 Quant Researchers, 4 Quant Traders, and 3 Quant Developers. Two specific employees cannot be assigned to Quant Research. How many valid team assignments are possible?

Team Formation

Non-Adjacent Ones

How many binary strings of length 10 contain exactly four 1s with no two 1s adjacent?

Binary Strings

Two-Ace Hands

How many 5-card poker hands contain exactly two aces?

Cards

Even Face Distribution

A fair six-sided die is rolled 36 times. What is the probability that every face appears exactly six times?

Multinomial

Unlabeled Team Split

Twelve distinct people are divided into three unlabeled teams of four. How many different divisions are possible?

Team Formation

Alternating Seating

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Circular Arrangements

Lattice Path Count

+ 1 follow-up

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Lattice Paths

Straight But Not Flush

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Poker

Ratio of Uniforms

+ 2 follow-ups

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Uniform Distribution

Median of Three Uniforms

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Order Statistics

Expected Max of Two Dice

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the expected value of the maximum?

Dice

Expected Min of Two Dice

+ 1 follow-up

Two fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the expected value of the minimum?

Dice

Extremes of n Uniforms

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Continuous Order Statistics

Minimum of Exponentials

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Exponential Distribution

Race of Two Exponentials

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Exponential Distribution

Covariance With a Sum

+ 1 follow-up

and are independent with and . Find .

Covariance

Inverse Transform Sampling

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Inverse Transform

Broken Stick Triangle

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Geometric Probability

Diagnostic Test Bayes

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Bayes' Theorem

Fair Coin or Two-Headed

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Bayesian Updating

Urn Conditional Draw

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Urns

Face Card Color

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Cards

Two in a Row

+ 1 follow-up

Paul repeatedly flips a fair coin until he obtains two consecutive equal outcomes, either or . What is the expected number of flips?

Coin Stopping Times

Collecting All Faces

+ 1 follow-up

A fair six-sided die is rolled repeatedly. What is the expected number of rolls required to observe all six faces at least once?

Coupon Collector

Occupied Boxes

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Occupancy

Landing at Plus Two

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Random Walk

Stable Round Table

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Geometric Probability

Reroll or Keep

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Optimal Rerolling

Inversions in Shuffles

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Random Permutations

Even Die, Even Sum

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Independence

Silent Half Hour

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Poisson Distribution

Memoryless Wait

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Exponential Memorylessness

Correlated Sum Variance

+ 1 follow-up

and both have variance 1 and correlation . What is ?

Correlation

One-Period Call Value

+ 2 follow-ups

A stock is currently worth 100. After one period it will be either 110 with probability 1/2 or 90 with probability 1/2. Assume zero interest rates. A European call has strike 100. What is its value under this one-period risk-neutral model?

Options · Binomial Pricing

Broken Put-Call Parity

+ 2 follow-ups

Assume zero interest rates. , , European call price , European put price . Does put-call parity hold?

Options · Put-Call Parity

Two Million VaR

A portfolio's daily P&L is normally distributed with mean zero and standard deviation million. Using a one-sided 95% normal quantile of 1.645, what is the 95% one-day VaR?

Risk · Value at Risk

Beta-Neutral Futures Hedge

You hold a million portfolio with market beta 1.2. A futures contract provides of market exposure and has beta 1. Approximately how many futures contracts should you short to make the portfolio beta-neutral?

Hedging · Beta Hedge

Two-Asset Portfolio Volatility

+ 2 follow-ups

A portfolio invests 50% in Asset A and 50% in Asset B. Both assets have annual volatility 20% and their correlation is 0.5. What is the portfolio's annual volatility?

Portfolio Theory · Correlation

Exactly One Ace

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Cards

Consecutive Values Become Neighbours

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Random Permutations

Every Room Occupied

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Occupancy

Non-Consecutive Selection

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Combinations

Three Different Suits

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Cards

Separation in a Line

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Random Permutations

Even Digits in a Code

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Counting

Which Coin Was Chosen?

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Bayes

Defective Product Source

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Bayes

Conditional Relative Ordering

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Permutations

Exactly One Ace Given At Least One

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Cards

Previous Draw Given Current Color

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Conditional Sampling

Waiting for HT

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Pattern Waiting Times

Birthday Collision Pairs

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Indicator Variables

Paying for a Reroll

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Optimal Decision

Waiting for Two Specific Faces

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Coupon Collection

Sum Before the First Six

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Recursion

Reinforced Urn

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Conditional Probability

Conditional Dice Maximum

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Conditional Probability

Conditional Geometric Time

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Geometric Distribution

Expected Gap Between Two Uniforms

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Continuous Uniform

Competing Exponentials

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Exponential Distribution

Poisson Thinning of Order Flow

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Poisson Process

Zero Covariance Without Independence

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Let . Find .

Dependence

Beta-Binomial Posterior Update

+ 1 follow-up

A Bernoulli success probability has prior distribution . You observe 7 successes and 3 failures. What is the posterior distribution of ?

Bayesian Statistics

Positive Definiteness of a 2x2 Symmetric Matrix

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Linear Algebra

Orthogonal Projection onto a Line

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Linear Algebra

Eigenvalues From Trace and Determinant

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Linear Algebra

Cobb-Douglas Resource Allocation

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Optimization

Gradient of a Quadratic Form

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Linear Algebra

Covariance of Brownian Motion

For standard Brownian motion , what is ?

Brownian Motion

Expected Level of Geometric Brownian Motion

Suppose , with known. Find .

Geometric Brownian Motion

Two-State Markov Chain Stationary Distribution

A Markov chain has transition matrix . Find its stationary distribution.

Markov Chains

Lower Bound for a European Call

A non-dividend-paying stock has , strike , continuously compounded risk-free rate , and maturity year. What is the no-arbitrage lower bound for the price of a European call?

Arbitrage Bounds

Duration Plus Convexity Approximation

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Fixed Income

Minimum-Variance Hedge Ratio

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Hedging

Call Price From Put-Call Parity

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Put-Call Parity

Limits of Square-Root Sharpe Scaling

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Sharpe Ratio

Finding a Heavier Coin Among Nine

Among nine visually identical coins, exactly one is heavier than the rest. Using a balance scale, what is the minimum number of weighings needed to guarantee identifying the heavy coin?

Information / Search

Coin Flips Needed to Simulate a Fair Die

Using only independent fair coin flips, one method to simulate a fair six-sided die generates three bits, interprets them as an integer from to , accepts values through , and rejects or by repeating. What is the expected number of coin flips required per accepted die roll?

Randomness

Look-Ahead Bias in Backtesting

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Backtesting

Expected False Positives Under Multiple Testing

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Hypothesis Testing

Primary Effect of Severe Multicollinearity

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Regression

Why Shuffling Breaks Time-Series Cross-Validation

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Model Validation

Definition of Weak Covariance Stationarity

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Time Series

Why Selecting the Best Backtested Rule Overstates Performance

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Backtesting

Three Cards of the Same Suit

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Cards

Exactly Two Hearts in Five Cards

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Cards

First Ace at Position Ten

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Cards

Same Parity Without Replacement

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Combinatorial Probability

Doubles Given a Large Sum

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Conditional Probability

Three Possible Sources

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Bayes' Theorem

Truncated Geometric Distribution

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Geometric Distribution

Exactly One Red, Conditionally

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Conditional Probability

Uniform Inequality

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Continuous Distributions

Distance Between Two Uniforms

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Continuous Distributions

Median Below One Half

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Order Statistics

Exponential Race

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Exponential Distribution

At Least Two Successes

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Binomial Distribution

Seven in a Line, Not Adjacent

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Permutations

Bounded Integer Solutions

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Stars and Bars

Mixed Lower Bounds

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Stars and Bars

Non-Consecutive Selection

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Combinatorial Bijections

Binary Strings, Three Isolated Ones

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Combinatorial Bijections

Five-Digit Integers, No Repeats

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Permutations

Committee With At Least One of Two

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Combinations

Committee With Exactly One of Two

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Combinations

Teams of Three Sizes

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Multinomial Coefficients

Derangements of Five Objects

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Derangements

Alternating Circular Seating

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Circular Permutations

Each Face Exactly Three Times

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Multinomial Coefficients

Expected Absolute Difference of Two Dice

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Dice

Distinct Faces in Three Rolls

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Indicator Variables

Expected Empty Boxes

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Occupancy

Coupon Collector for a Four-Sided Die

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Coupon Collector

Waiting for HH

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Pattern Waiting Times

Reroll on an Eight-Sided Die

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Optimal Rerolling

Inversions in an Eight-Element Permutation

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Random Permutations

Adjacent Equal Pairs in Twelve Flips

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Indicator Variables

Collision Pairs Among Balls

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Indicator Variables

Second Moment of the Walk

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Random Walk

Expected Trials for Three Successes

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Negative Binomial

One Chance to Redraw a Uniform

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Optimal Stopping

Covariance of Two Linear Functions

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Covariance

Correlation Between a Variable and Its Sum

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Correlation

MLE of an Exponential Rate

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Maximum Likelihood

MLE Denominator for Normal Variance

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Maximum Likelihood

Beta-Bernoulli Posterior Update

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Bayesian Inference

CDF of the Maximum of Uniforms

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Order Statistics

Expected kth Order Statistic of Uniforms

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Order Statistics

Law of Total Expectation Application

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Conditional Expectation

A Quadratic Brownian Martingale

Give a simple martingale constructed from for standard Brownian motion.

Martingales

Log-Normality of Geometric Brownian Motion

For , what is the distribution of ?

Geometric Brownian Motion

Discounted GBM as a Martingale

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Geometric Brownian Motion

Covariance Stationarity of an AR(1) Process

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Time Series

Variance of a Stationary AR(1) Process

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Time Series

Autocorrelation of a Stationary AR(1) Process

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Time Series

Risk-Neutral Probability in a One-Period Tree

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Options · Binomial Pricing

Two-Asset Portfolio Volatility With Unequal Weights

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Portfolio Theory · Correlation

Minimum-Variance Hedge Ratio, Second Instance

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Hedging

Beta Hedge With Futures, Second Instance

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Hedging · Beta Hedge

Duration Plus Convexity, Second Instance

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Fixed Income

Bond Portfolio DV01

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Fixed Income

Implied FX Cross Rate

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FX

Kelly Fraction for an Even-Money Bet, Second Instance

An even-money bet wins with probability 0.60. What fraction of wealth does the Kelly criterion recommend wagering?

Kelly Criterion

Annualized Sharpe Ratio, Second Instance

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Risk · Sharpe Ratio

Two-Asset Portfolio Volatility, Uncorrelated Case

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Portfolio Theory · Correlation

Checking Put-Call Parity, Second Instance

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Options · Put-Call Parity

Inverse of a 2x2 Matrix

Find the inverse of the matrix .

Matrix Inverse

Orthogonal Projection of a Vector Onto a Line

Project orthogonally onto the line spanned by .

Projections

Positive Semidefiniteness of a Covariance Matrix

Why must every covariance matrix be positive semidefinite?

Covariance Matrices

Hessian of a Quadratic Form

For symmetric , find the Hessian of .

Matrix Calculus

Cobb-Douglas Maximization With Unequal Exponents

Maximize subject to .

Optimization

Maximizing a Geometric Mean Under a Weighted Constraint

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Optimization

Singular Values and A^T A

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Singular Value Decomposition

First Principal Component Direction

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Principal Component Analysis

Determinant of an Orthogonal Matrix

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Orthogonal Matrices

Convexity and the Hessian

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Convex Functions

Probability of No Hash Collisions

Ten keys are independently hashed uniformly into 100 buckets. What is the probability that no two collide?

Hashing

Streaming kth Largest Element

You need the kth largest element while streaming n values and k is small. What data structure naturally supports O(n log k) processing?

Heaps

Complexity of Floyd's Cycle Detection

What are the time and auxiliary-space complexities of Floyd's cycle detection algorithm?

Linked Lists

Why Random Swaps Do Not Uniformly Shuffle

Why is repeatedly swapping each array element with a uniformly random element from the entire array generally not a correct uniform shuffle?

Randomized Algorithms

Solving T(n) = 2T(n/2) + n

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Recurrences

Leaves and Internal Nodes in a Full Binary Tree

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Trees

Simulating a Five-Sided Die With Coin Flips

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Randomness

Finding a Majority Element

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Arrays

Fair Value of a Binary Payoff

An asset pays with probability and otherwise. Compute its fair value.

Fair Value

Selling Above Expected Value

An asset settles at with probability and otherwise. A dealer sells one unit at . Find the expected dealer P&L.

Fair Value

Buying a Coin-Flip Asset

An asset pays or , each with probability . A dealer buys one unit at . What is the expected P&L?

Fair Value

Edge Times Size

The expected terminal price is . A dealer sells units at . What is the expected P&L?

Fair Value

One Order, Asymmetric Arrival

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Order Flow

Losing to Informed Flow

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Adverse Selection

Expected P&L With No-Trade Intervals

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Adverse Selection

Break-Even Against Mixed Buyers

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Adverse Selection

Bid Against Informed Sellers

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Adverse Selection

Mark-to-Market After Uneven Fills

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P&L

Ending Inventory

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Inventory

Chained Inventory Updates

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Inventory

Average Acquisition Cost

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Inventory

Mark-to-Market on a Long

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P&L

Mark-to-Market on a Short

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P&L

Partial Fills on Both Sides

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P&L

Basis-Point Spread

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Quotes and Spreads

Quoting a Target Spread

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Quotes and Spreads

Uneven Flow Over a Session

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P&L

Expected P&L of Two Outcomes

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Fair Value

Break-Even Informed Fraction

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Adverse Selection

Spread Revenue Net of Adverse Selection

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Adverse Selection

Inventory-Adjusted Reservation Price

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Inventory Skew

Reservation Price Across Inventories

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Inventory Skew

Quoting Around a Reservation Price

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Inventory Skew

Skewing a Quote

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Inventory Skew

Choosing a Bid by Fill Probability

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Quote Optimization

Choosing an Ask by Fill Probability

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Quote Optimization

Expected P&L With Execution Risk

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Quote Optimization

Twelve Coins Lower Bound

Twelve coins include exactly one counterfeit, which may be heavier or lighter. Using a balance scale, what is the information-theoretic lower bound on the number of weighings needed?

Weighing

Eighty-One Coins, One Light

Eighty-one identical-looking coins include one lighter counterfeit. What is the minimum number of balance weighings that guarantees finding it?

Weighing

Twenty-Seven Coins, One Heavy

Twenty-seven identical-looking coins include one heavier counterfeit. What is the minimum number of balance weighings that guarantees identifying it?

Weighing

Sixteen Bottles, One Round

One of bottles is poisoned; poison kills exactly hours after drinking. With one -hour round of parallel tests, how many mice are needed to identify the poisoned bottle?

Information

One Hundred Lockers

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Number Theory

Mutilated Chessboard

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Invariants

Matching Socks

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Pigeonhole

Shared Birth Month

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Pigeonhole

Overlapping Clock Hands

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Clocks

Squares in a Grid

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Counting

Bridge and Flashlight

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Optimization Puzzles

Twenty-Five Horses

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Optimization Puzzles

Two Eggs, Thirty-Six Floors

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Optimization Puzzles

Two Black, Two White Hats

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Logic Puzzles

Painted 4x4x4 Cube

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Counting

Party Handshakes

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Counting

One Liter From 3 and 5

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Jug Puzzles

Three Pizza Cuts

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Geometry

A Slow Clock

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Clocks

Unpainted Cubes in 3x3x3

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Counting

Union of Independent Events

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Events

Six Given Even

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Conditional Probability

Expected Tosses to First Head

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Geometric Distribution

First Six on the Third Roll

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Geometric Distribution

Different Colours

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Urns

Two Uniforms Above One

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Geometric Probability

Positive Test, Rare Disease

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Bayes

Binary Strings With Two Ones

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Combinations

Stars and Bars for Seven

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Stars and Bars

Arrangements of LEVEL

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Multinomial

Four-Digit PINs

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Product Rule

Four-Card Hands

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Combinations

Binomial Mean and Variance

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Binomial

Poisson Zero

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Poisson

Normal Below Its Mean

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Normal

Variance of a Difference

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Variance

Correlation From Covariance

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Correlation

997 Times 1003

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Mental Math

125 Times 64

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Mental Math

One Seventh to Three Decimals

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Mental Math

Up 20 Then Down 20

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Mental Math

Difference of Squares

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Mental Math

Forward Payoff

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Forwards

Forward Price With Continuous Rates

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Forwards

Call Price From Parity

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Put-Call Parity

Neutralizing Delta

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Greeks

One-Day 95% VaR

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Value at Risk

Adjacent Aces

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Cards

No Empty Box

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Occupancy

Even Grid Sums

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Parity

No Couples Adjacent

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Inclusion-Exclusion

Average of Three Uniforms

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Irwin-Hall Distribution

Minimum of Three Dice

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Order Statistics

MLE for Uniform Support

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Estimation

First Ace Position

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Cards

Fruit Basket Depletion

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Sequential Sampling

Racing to Heads

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Geometric Distribution

Tetrahedral Dice Duel

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Recursive Games

Dice Streak Threshold

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Optimal Stopping

Gambler's Ruin Odds

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Gambler's Ruin

Pattern Waiting Times

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Pattern Waiting Times

Mayor's Rope Cut

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Geometric Probability

Two Rerolls Allowed

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Dynamic Programming

Order Statistic Expectation

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Conditional Expectation

Median of Three Uniforms

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Order Statistics

Uniform Arrival Time

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Poisson Process

Total Variance Split

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Law of Total Variance

Reciprocal Jensen Gap

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Jensen

Empty Seats Occupancy

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Indicators

Adverse Selection Quotes

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Market Making · Adverse Selection

Kelly Bet Sizing

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Betting · Kelly Criterion

Even Coordinate in Stars and Bars

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Integer Solutions

Non-Attacking Rooks

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Combinatorial Probability

Waiting for HTH

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Pattern Waiting Times

Records in a Random Permutation

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Indicator Variables

Two Uniforms Smaller Than a Third

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Continuous Probability

Maximum of Two Exponentials

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Exponential Distribution

Conditional Poisson Arrival Locations

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Poisson Process

Brownian Motion Exit Probability

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Brownian Motion

Exponential Brownian Martingale

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Martingales

Minimum-Variance Portfolio Weight

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Optimization

Triangular FX Arbitrage

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FX

Kelly Sizing With Non-Even Odds

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Kelly Criterion

Two Fragile Objects, One Hundred Floors

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Search Strategy

Survivor of the Josephus Circle

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Recursion

Probability an Item Is Kept in Reservoir Sampling

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Random Sampling

Optimization Behind the First Principal Component

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PCA

Meaning of Cointegration

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Time Series

Exactly One Birthday Pair Among Four

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Birthday Problem

Pairing Ten People

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Perfect Matchings

No Room Left Empty

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Inclusion-Exclusion

Lattice Paths Below the Diagonal

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Lattice Paths

Six People, Four Rooms, None Empty

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Inclusion-Exclusion

Paying to Reroll a Ten-Sided Die

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Optimal Rerolling

Records Among Ten Values

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Indicator Variables

Law of Total Variance Application

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Conditional Variance

Expected Exit Time of Brownian Motion

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Brownian Motion

Uniform Order Statistics From a Poisson Process

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Poisson Process

General Two-State Stationary Distribution

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Markov Chains

Expected Absorption Time in Gambler's Ruin

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Random Walks

Minimum-Variance Weight, Second Instance

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Optimization

Kelly Fraction With Net Odds, Second Instance

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Kelly Criterion

Projection Matrix Onto a Column Space

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Projections

Amortized Complexity of Union-Find

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Data Structures

Final Inclusion Probability in k-Item Reservoir Sampling

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Random Sampling

Expected P&L and Inventory Drift

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Order Flow

Minimum Spread Against Information

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Adverse Selection

Asymmetric Flow and Information

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Adverse Selection

Break-Even Ask

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Adverse Selection

Break-Even Bid

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Adverse Selection

Losing on One Side Only

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Adverse Selection

Covered Call Payoff in Two States

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Hedging

Variance of Mark-to-Market P&L

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Risk

Mean and Variance of Independent Trades

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Risk

Bid Selection With Conditional Values

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Quote Optimization

Smallest Safe Half-Spread

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Adverse Selection

Mean-Variance Trade Choice

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Risk

Asymmetric Price Impact

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Adverse Selection

Ask Selection With Conditional Values

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Quote Optimization

Interval P&L With Unequal Edges

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Adverse Selection

Bookkeeping a Trading Sequence

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P&L

One Hundred Prisoners and Boxes

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Permutations

The Last Airplane Seat

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Probability Puzzles

One Thousand Bottles

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Information

Toggling the Divisors of 60

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Number Theory

Taking 1 to 3 Stones From 21

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Games

Taking 1 to 4 Stones From 100

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Games

Diagonals of a 20-gon

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Counting

Necklace With One Red Bead

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Counting

Chords of Ten Points

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Geometry

Removing Opposite Colours

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Invariants

Sum 8 Given a Six

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Conditional Probability

Expected Position of the First Ace

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Cards

Two Heads Given at Least One

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Conditional Probability

Sum Above One Given a Large X

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Geometric Probability

Round Table, Two Together

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Circular Arrangements

Onto Functions to Two Values

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Functions

Bounded Stars and Bars

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Stars and Bars

Exponential Wait Over Ten Minutes

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Exponential Waiting Times

Variance of a Sample Mean

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Sampling

Random Walk Back at Zero

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Random Walks

999 Squared

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Mental Math

Delta-Gamma Approximation

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Greeks

Combining Correlated Positions

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Portfolio Risk

Bull Call Spread

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Option Strategies

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